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www.adamhodges.com

Tuesday, October 12, 2004

Message Monopoly

Media access is everything in a political campaign. With presidential campaigns indistinguishable in many respects from product marketing, the most seen and most talked about candidate has a definite advantage in 'consumer brand awareness.'

This election season, ECOresearch Network is conducting a project that provides a weekly snapshot of international Web coverage of candidates. The project provides two main indicators: (1) ATTENTION (amount of weekly coverage), and (2) ATTITUDE (association with positive and negative words). (more on methodology)

Not surprisingly, when Bush was in the midst of a very good September, his attention rating was nearly twice that of Kerry's. In addition, Bush has managed to maintain more positive attitude ratings than Kerry in the study. Kerry's numbers have been shifting over the past few weeks with his success in the debates, but the study still shows an advantage to Bush.

We can say that in some ways the media reflect public attitudes, and in other ways the public reflects media coverage. This dialectical relationship between the media and the public can be examined from various angles, and underscores the importance of media coverage in shaping public opinion.

And speaking of shaping public opinion, the Sinclair Broadcasting Group has ordered its local stations to preempt regular programming a week before the election to show an anti-Kerry documentary (potentially classified as 'news'), according to the Los Angeles Times. No, we haven't had the Fairness Doctrine since 1987, and yes, Sinclair owns 64 stations that reach 25% of the nation. By the way, the Sinclair CEO is David Smith, and his email address is dsmith@sbgnet.com.

- Adam