Thursday, January 13, 2005
State of the World 2005
Poverty,
Disease, Environmental Decline are True 'Axis of Evil'
State of the World 2005 calls
for new approach to global security
(12 Jan 2005, World Watch Institute)
Washington, D.C. -- The global war on terror is diverting the world's
attention from the central causes of instability, reports the Worldwatch
Institute in its annual State of the World 2005. Acts of terror
and the dangerous reactions they provoke are symptomatic of underlying
sources of global insecurity, including the perilous interplay among
poverty, infectious disease, environmental degradation, and rising
competition over oil and other resources.
Compounded by the spread of deadly armaments, these "problems
without passports" create the conditions in which political
instability, warfare, and extremism thrive. They could lead the
world into a dangerous downward spiral in which the basic fabric
of nations is called into question, political fault lines deepen,
and radicalization grows. Tackling these challenges demands a strategy
that emphasizes prevention-focused programs rather than military
might, the report concludes.
"Poverty, disease, and environmental decline are the true axis
of evil," says Worldwatch President
Christopher Flavin. "Unless these threats are recognized and responded
to, the world runs the risk of being blindsided by the new forces
of instability, just as the
In the State of the World 2005 foreword, former Soviet Union President
and Green Cross International chairman Mikhail Gorbachev calls for
a "Global Glasnost, openness, transparency, and public dialogue"
and "a policy of 'preventive engagement'" to meet the
challenges of poverty, disease, environmental degradation, and conflict
in a sustainable and nonviolent way."
Among the many destabilizing pressures examined, State of the World
2005 highlights the following as particularly critical for efforts
to build a more peaceful world:
- OIL: Continued heavy dependence on oil carries with it enormous costs and risks. It fuels geopolitical rivalries, civil wars, and human rights violations. The economic security of supplier and buyer nations is compromised by severe swings in price and supply. And oil's role in undermining climatic stability poses grave threats to human safety.
- WATER: Water agreements have made cooperation rather than conflict the norm among neighboring states. But within countries, water shortages are fueling violent conflict. Worldwide, 434 million people currently face water scarcity. Insufficient access to water is a major cause of lost rural livelihoods, compelling farmers to abandon their fields and fueling conflicts.
- FOOD: Worldwide, nearly two billion people suffer from hunger and chronic nutrient deficiencies. Food security is often undermined by factors such as water availability, land distribution, poverty, and environmental degradation. Among the major food security threats on the horizon are climate change, the loss of diversity of plant and animal species, the rise of foodborne illnesses, and food bioterror.
- INFECTIOUS DISEASE: Several known diseases have reemerged or spread
geographically and many new ones have been identified over the
last three decades. HIV/AIDS has become a major killer, and an
estimated 34 to 46 million people are infected with the virus.
The world's economically least-developed countries are the most
affected by the pandemic. In sub-Saharan
- YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT: More than 100 developing countries worldwide are
currently experiencing a "youth bulge" (a situation
where people aged 15 to 29 account for
more than 40 percent of all adults). Economic opportunities are
particularly scarce in the Middle East and sub-Saharan
To confront these challenges to global security, State of the World 2005 calls for a strengthening of the civilian institutions and systems that are best equipped to address them. A range of strategic investments in sustainable energy, public health, protection of ecological systems, education, jobs, and poverty alleviation will assist in this transition, write the report's authors.
"The current fixation on fighting terrorism has overshadowed the graver threats that now loom over us, said State of the World 2005 Project Directors Michael Renner and Hilary French. "A more sustainable and equitable world is a more secure world. Rather than continuing to build military muscle, governments need to redouble their efforts to safeguard human and environmental security, enhance disarmament and post-conflict reconstruction, and redesign the United Nations for the security challenges of today and tomorrow."
- State of the World 2005: Redefining Global Security (World Watch Institute)
- "Terror War Diverting Attention from Roots of Insecurity," by Jim Lobe (13 Jan 2005, Inter Press Service)